P.O. Box 3926
Midway, KY 40347
(859) 846 - 9794
Thoroughbred business is always a challenge, but in a tough
economy, it’s even more important to make sound decisions
that protect your investments. This is not the time to be
cutting costs by eliminating the experts who provide advice
to keep you from making stupid mistakes. Use your advisors:
bloodstock agents, pedigree consultants, farm managers,
veterinarians, blacksmiths, nutritionists and whoever else
has expertise in their respective fields
that you do not.
pedigree consultancy, don't confuse expertise with
the ability to look up a "nick rating" on the
In my opinion, the recent war of the nick ratings has done
more to damage the field of pedigree study than anything
in recent memory. A good advisor knows
that nicks are just a part of the equation, and not the
answer. A good advisor knows that pedigree and conformation
are inextricably linked, and has a solid understanding of
both as it applies to the horse standing in front of them.
A good advisor doesn't baffle you with pedigree mythologies
that have no basis in reality. A good advisor considers
your goals, your budget, and your preferences, and will
work within your parameters or recommend when they need
to be realistically revised. A good advisor of any kind
is honest and objective.
important to realize that breeding Thoroughbreds is an exercise
in genetics - knowledge of the gene pool and how the traits
are passed on. We are breeding racehorses, which means we
are breeding for performance, inspecting the best runners
and sires will quickly show you that perfect conformation
is not a requirement for excellence. With all the factors
that need to be weighed and balanced, Thoroughbred breeding
is as much an art as a science; an intellectual exercise
at its best and a crap shoot at its worst.
|Clarification: It has come to my attention
that some people think the person who posts on the internet
under the name "Pedigree Ann" is me. Please be aware
that Pedigree Ann is not me.
Recently Published Articles:
Blood-Horse Mar 15, 2014: Bold
Blood-Horse Mar 1, 2014: First Samurai
Blood-Horse Feb 15, 2014: Buckpasser
Blood-Horse Feb 1, 2014: Lecomte
Blood-Horse Jan 18, 2014: Turn-to
Blood-Horse Jan 4, 2014: Dunkirk
Blood-Horse Dec 14, 2013: Honor Code
Blood-Horse Nov 16, 2013: All Weather Sires
Blood-Horse Nov 2, 2013: Mating Rules of Thumb
Blood-Horse Oct 19, 2013: Wardelle and Wardoura
Blood-Horse Oct 19, 2013: Trio at the Top (Sires of Breeders'
Cup winners: Tapit, Smart Strike, Awesome Again)
Blood-Horse Oct 5, 2013: Modern Speed Genes
Blood-Horse Sep 21, 2013: Candy Ride
Blood-Horse Sep 7, 2013: Speed
Blood-Horse Aug 24, 2013: Travers winners as sires
Blood-Horse Aug 10, 2013: A
Rising Sire Family
BH MarketWatch July 2013: First Crop Yearling Sires
Blood-Horse July 27, 2013: Centralinteligence
Blood-Horse July 13, 2013: Kitten's
Blood-Horse June 22, 2013: Tiznow
Blood-Horse June 8, 2013: Leading
Blood-Horse May 18, 2013 issue: Kentucky
Derby winners as sires
Blood-Horse May 4, 2013 issue: Black
Blood-Horse Apr 20, 2013 issue: Lines
Blood-Horse Apr 6, 2013 issue: Awesome
Blood-Horse Mar 23, 2013 issue: Sires
Blood-Horse Mar 9, 2013 issue: Shakin
Blood-Horse Feb 23, 2013 issue: Tapit
Blood-Horse Feb 9, 2013 issue: Wise
Blood-Horse Jan 26, 2013 issue: Mizdirection
Blood-Horse Jan 12, 2013 issue: Spring
2012 September Sales: Top 50 Hips
2012 Septembers Sales: Big Brown, Curlin among first crop
2012 Yearling sales: Flower Alley having a rebound year.
2012 Yearlings: Introducing the next class of sires.
New York stallion colony continues overhaul in 2012
Uncle Mo leads new class of Kentucky sires for 2012
Daneill leading broodmare sire of 2011
Smart Strike leading turf sire of 2011
Scat Daddy leading freshman sire of 2011
Times: Mr Prospector potent Belmont Influence
Racing Form: 2011 September Sales Observations
Racing Form: 2011 September Sales 50 Book 1 picks
Racing Form: Leading Sires of 2010 Giant's Causeway
Racing Form: Leading Turf Sire of 2010 Dynaformer
Racing Form: Leading Broodmare Sire of 2010 Sadler's Wells
Racing Form: New Sires for 2011
Times 2011 Freshman Sire Analysis
Blood-Horse Stallion Register
5x pedigrees and race records
Sirelines Circular Chart
No one has asked my opinion yet, but I'll offer
it anyhow. My favorite freshman sires this year are:
Pioneerof The Nile
Sea The Stars (IRE)
My 2012 Freshman
Sire Picks - featured in Thoroughbred Times March 10, 2012
10 Leading Freshman Sires of 2011
Daddy, Hard Spun, Lawyer Ron, Corinthian, Hat Trick, Flashy
Bull, Sunriver, High Cotton, Master Command, Street Sense.
(Lawyer Ron, Sunriver and Master Command are all unfortunately
pick for the 2011 Thoroughbred Times Freshman Sire Contest
was Scat Daddy! I was the only
one of the four experts on the panel who selected him.
GALA AWARD BECOMES 3RD GRADED STAKES WINNER FOR WILSHEWED
Back in February, we lost a friend in Bill Currin, and
my sympathies are with his wife Betty and their family.
I got to know Bill and Betty during the winter and spring
of 2007 when Bill was training his glamorous colt Stormello
(by Stormy Atlantic - Wilshewed by Carson City),
owned with partner Al Eisman, for the Florida Derby. An
elegant, fiery chestnut colt, Stormello would go to the
front and try to run the field off their feet, showing brilliance
and bravery in those long stretch runs. I loved Stormello,
who sadly died in 2011. Watching racing one day in 2012,
I was transfixed by those familiar Currin colors darting
out front on a blazed faced colt who went wire to wire in
that free wheeling style of Stormello. I was laughing when
I discovered it was Stormello's full brother, My Best
Brother. My Best Brother won the Del Mar Derby-G2T that
year in brilliant style, and within a month, his half brother
by Bernardini out of Wilshewed brought $1,550,000 at the
Keeneland September Sale. Named Gala Award, he recently
won the Palm Beach Stakes-G3T at Gulfstream Park and there
is the possibility that he could go on the Derby trail,
like his older brother Stormello did. So that gives the
Currin's lovely mare Wilshewed her third Graded stakes winner
from six foals. Wilshewed is based at Cathy Parke's Valkyre
Stud near Georgetown, Kentucky and she will have my sentimental
vote for 2014 Broodmare of the Year.
MY FAVORITE FRESHMAN SIRES OF 2014
Among the stallions whose first crop will be racing
in 2014, here are some of my favorites. I think Munnings
has "leading freshman sire" written all over him.
Fast and precocious himself, he's built for the part, and
is from a strong sireline, being the first good son of Speightstown
to stud in North America. Blame is a magnificent
individual, and although his runners might not be as precocious
as Munnings, he stands out as an outstanding runner by a
very good sire from a great sire-making family going back
to Rough Shod II. I liked Tale of Ekati when he was
racing, and I still like him. He was a G2 winner at 2 and
multiple G1 winner at 3, by Tale of the Cat, out of a Sunday
Silence mare, from a great female family. Line of David
impressed me with his good looks and is by Lion Heart, who
was exported too soon. He is also from the immediate family
of Mr. Prospector, which says a lot. Concord Point was
one of the first sons of Tapit to stud and is a big, stout,
handsome horse with a remarkably intense pedigree.
BEST STALLION VALUES 2014
One of the stallions I find myself recommending a lot
this winter is Exchange Rate, who is priced very
well at Three Chimneys at $20,000 (down from $30,000 last
year). This offers commercial value since his 2013 yearlings
averaged $81,259 with a median of $80,000. He's a solid
proven sire whose runners win early for quick return. Mizzen
Mast has also worked his way up into commercial favor,
standing for $20,000 now at Juddmonte Farms, with a yearling
average of $77,565 and median of $70,000. Three Chimneys
has another nice proven mid-priced stallion in Sky Mesa,
also priced at $20,000, with a yearling average of $66,283
and a median of $50,000.
NEW STALLIONS FOR 2014.
Don't forget to check my pages regularly to keep up with
stallions as they retire from the track and are headed for
stud duty. This is the most comprehensive list on the web
for Northern Hemisphere stallions.
Stallions and Roster Changes for 2014
The new Kentucky stallions by stud fee are:
Animal Kingdom (Darley, $35,000)
Point of Entry (Adena
Fort Larned (Adena
Shanghai Bobby (Ashford, $20,000)
Take Charge Indy (WinStar, $20,000)
Denan (AUS) (Darley,
Raison d'Etat (Calumet,
'n' Dale, $15,000)
Jimmy Creed (Spendthrift,
Justin Phillip (Castleton
New Year's Day (Hill 'n' Dale, $12,500)
Flat Out (Spendthrift,
I Want Revenge (Pauls Mill, $10,000)
(Lane's End, $10,000)
Power Broker (Hill
'n' Dale, $10,000)
Data Link (Claiborne,
(Pauls Mill, $7,500)
Snapy Halo (ARG)(Calumet, $7,500)
Swagger Jack (Millennium,
(Mill Ridge, $5,000)
O'Prado Again (Spendthrift,
Awesome Patriot (Spendthrift, $3,500)
Hero of Order (Raut,
|BIG BROWN'S SUCCESS WITH MR P.
Big Brown got his fourth stakes winner and first Graded stakes
winner when Darwin won the The Minstrel Stakes-G3 at The Curragh
in Ireland. Given his pedigree, I predicted that Brown would
do well with Mr. Prospector-line mares, and in fact, all of
these stakes winners are out of Mr. Prospector-line mares,
by Silver Ghost, Gone For Real, Rubiano and K. O. Punch.
No one has asked my opinion yet, but I'll offer
it anyhow. My favorite freshman sires this year are:
Pioneerof The Nile
Sea The Stars (IRE)
FIRST G1 WINNER FOR SMARTY JONES
June 29, 2013, Centralinteligence ran
away with the Triple Bend Handicap [G1] at Hollywood Park.
Centralinteligence is a 5-year-old gelding by Smarty Jones
out of Shootforthestars by Seattle Slew. He was bred by
Smarty Jones's owner Pat Chapman, who was looking for mares
to breed to Smarty Jones in the fall of 2006. We looked
at Smarty's first yearlings that year and had been impressed
with the colt out of the Seattle Slew mare Shootforthestars.
I loved Smarty with Seattle Slew mares, and this one was
offered at the 2006 Keeneland November Sale in foal to Elusive
Quality (Smarty's sire), so this mare was among my recommendations
for Mrs. Chapman to buy, which she did, for $450,000 and
the rest is history.
Mrs. Chapman is also the breeder of Smarty Jones's 2012
stakes winner Res Judicata, a nice colt out of the homebred
mare Mohonour, by Honour and Glory, a big, blaze faced mare
who looks very much like her dam's sire Unbridled.
I'm so pleased for Pat, who is a genuinely nice person,
who loves her horses, especially her Smarty. While it was
disappointing to have him move out of Kentucky, it was nice
that he could go home to Pennsylvania, where he now lives
at Northview Pennsylvania, closer so Pat can visit more
Smarty Jones is one of the most undervalued sires in America.
Check out his statistics, and be prepared to be surprised.
According to The Blood-Horse Stallion Register, he has 21
stakes winners, 6% stakes winners to foals, which is excellent,
with an AEI of 1.72. Go Smarty Go!
So Palace Malice surprised most of us
(he was nearly 14-1 after all) and won the Belmont over
Oxbow and Orb. The top 3 finishers were visibly leg weary
coming down through the final yards, but there was a blue
blur closing fast for fourth, my longshot pick Incognito.
So what have we learned from this Triple Crown season? I
think we discovered that this is a very contentious crop
of 3-year-olds that won't sort itself out until later in
the summer or fall. What we often find in years like this,
when 3 different horses break up the Triple Crown between
them, is that these are very strong crops, and not "mediocre"
as they're often labeled at this stage by misbegotten racing/handicapping
columnists who spend too much time deriding the sport and
whining because horses aren't predictable enough for them
to win a bet. The second half of the season is going to
be a lot of fun, I promise.
It's also important to acknowledge Palace Malice's sire,
Curlin, who now has 3 stakes winners from his first crop,
including the new classic winner, as well as Countess Curlin
and Stopshoppingdebbie. Their dams are by Royal Anthem (Palace
Malice), Private Account (Countess Curlin) and Wild Again
(Stopshoppingdebbie), so he's crossing with a wide range
of bloodlines so far, and they're all outcrosses at 4 generations.
An interesting factor with Palace Malice is that his second
dam is inbred 3x4 to Damascus. There's been a remarkable
tendency for horses with inbred second dams to perform at
a high level, results Tom Young and I discovered when we
wrote the article "The
Good, The Bad, and The Inbred" for Pedigree Post
back in 2001.
The big race is tomorrow so I thought
I'd go on record with my predictions, since nobody took
my advice when I got excited about Oxbow for the Preakness.
I'm still backing Orb - he had Belmont written all over
him even before the Derby. And I can't ignore the other
Malibu Moon colt, Freedom Child, either. I still like Revolutionary,
but am adding a controversial wild card, Incognito, who
is the only horse in the race who is truly bred to win the
Belmont, by A.P. Indy out of C.C.A. Oaks winner Octave.
I know he's inexperienced, but I think he might hit the
OXBOW SCORES IN
While I hoped Orb would win the Preakness, I
made sure to put a place and show bet on Oxbow after hearing
Gary Stevens's comments on the colt after the Derby. Oxbow
is interesting because he's by the grand sire Awesome Again
and out of Tizamazing by Cee's Tizzy out of Cee's Song (so
a full sister to Tiznow). This makes him a close relative
of last year's good 3-year-old and G1 winner Paynter, also
by Awesome Again out of Tizso, another full sister to Tiznow.
And he's bred similarly to Ghostzapper, by Awesome Again
out of Baby Zip, by Relaunch, who also sired Cee's Tizzy.
So we know where the talent comes from. If only we could
figure out where that weird roanish coloration comes from.
TO ORB AND HIS CONNECTIONS
I picked Orb for the Kentucky Derby this year
as one of the very few horses in the race with the pedigree
that I felt confident could go the mile and a quarter distance.
Fortunately, he proved even better than I could have imagined.
I've always been a fan of Malibu Moon and the female family
speaks for itself. Orb has stamped himself as the best stallion
prospect available, by my estimation. What a king of a horse!
HOORAY FOR PRINCESS
OF SYLMAR AND MAJESTIC WARRIOR
I was not only lucky enough to have a $2 bet
on Princess of Sylmar to win the Kentucky Oaks (which she
did at 38-1 odds!), but I have always been a big fan of
her sire Majestic Warrior. I tapped Majestic Warrior
as a prime stallion prospect for a former employer after
his maiden win at two, and he was one of my choices as Leading
Freshman Sire last year, which he was by number of winners
(30) and fourth by earnings.
I am excited to have scouted out the sires of this year's
Kentucky Oaks winner (Majestic Warrior) and last year's
Kentucky Derby winner (Flower Alley, sire of I'll Have Another).
I keep a regularly updated list of new
stallions and roster changes that will help breeders
for the upcoming season. One of my favorite racehorses becoming
a new stallion is Union Rags, who I thought was the
best 2-year-old of 2011, and was one of two horses I was
rooting for to win the Kentucky Derby (the other was I'll
Have Another). In the absence of I'll Have Another, I transferred
loyalties to Union Rags for the Belmont, which of course,
he won. 'Rags has the combination of precociousness and
middle distance ability, as well as Grade A pedigree that
I look for in a stallion prospect. New stallions in Kentucky
To Honor and Serve$30,000
Stay Thirsty $20,000
Creative Cause $15,000
The Factor $15,000
Brilliant Speed $10,000
Caleb's Posse $10,000
Midas Touch (GB) $10,000
Algorithms $ 7,500
Bullet Train (GB) $ 7,500
Mythical Power $
Maclean's Music $ 6,500
Baryshnikov $ 5,000
Country Day $
Stately Victor $
There are a good number of horses who have retired since
last spring who have not yet found a farm to call home.
Regional stallion managers should review this list to see
who might be available.
I'll Have Another's
stud fee in Japan
Big Red Farm's website now shows us a lovely
(but small) conformation photo of Kentucky Derby/ Preakness
Have Another, and mention that
his stud fee for 2013 will be 3,200,000 yen. That
currently converts to just over US $40,000. That's
not such a crazy stud fee for the kind of runner he
was, but it's obvious from the lack of response he
got from Kentucky stallion managers that I'll Have
Another could never have demanded that here next spring.
His sire, Flower Alley, will undoubtedly have
a stud fee bump up but how much is the question.
He was trading for $15,000 after the Preakness and covered
132 mares by the end of the 2012 season compared to 79 mares
in 2011. He has another talented 3-year-old colt in G2 winner
Neck 'n Neck, so he's clearly not a one-horse sire, and
he easily fills his book next spring.
KENTUCKY DERBY/PPREAKNESS WINNER I'LL HAVE ANOTHER BY FLOWER
be happier or more proud watching Flower Alley's son I'll
Have Another run down the game Bodemeister to win the Preakness
just like he won the Kentucky Derby two weeks before. This
is a fantastic, gorgeous colt, and now he's hopefully headed
to Belmont to finish his Triple Crown bid in the Belmont
Stakes. Have I mentioned lately that I'm a sucker for a
chestnut horse with a star?
my "going away party" at Three Chimneys Farm in
the fall of 2010, Robert Clay asked what I was most proud
of during my time there as Stallion Seasons and Matings
Advisor. I didn't hesitate to answer "It's important
to me that Flower Alley do well as a stallion," since
I was the one pushing for the farm to get him as a stallion
when others gave him the thumbs down.
Flower Alley was generally praised as the best-looking
horse entering stud in Kentucky in 2007, but it took three
long years of waiting to see what would come of that talent
and those good looks. His first crop included the Graded
stakes-winning fillies Lilacs And Lace and Bouquet Booth.
His second crop includes Kentucky Derby/Preakness winner
I'll Have Another. In retrospect, it seems kind of a no-brainer
that one of the best sons of the classic sire Distorted
Humor (sire of Funny Cide and Drosselmeyer) should follow
in his daddy's footsteps as a classic sire. I'm so proud
of my boy Flower Alley!
10 Leading Sires of 2011
Humor, Smart Strike, Tapit, Giant's Causeway, Malibu Moon,
More Than Ready, Speightstown, Empire Maker, Medaglia d'Oro,
and Kitten's Joy.
Compare their stud fees...More Than Ready, Speightstown and
Kitten's Joy are over-achievers. Empire Maker is a loss for
us, a gain for Japan.
Sire Combacks in 2011
Include, Mineshaft, Northern Afleet, Roman Ruler
Stud Fees 2014
Stallions and Roster Changes for 2014
reference site for Thoroughbred history
photographs of horses and landscapes by
one of the most deserving horse charities I know.
broodmare sires (North American-based, foaled since 1993)
- stallions in bold were foaled as recently as 1996, so are
doing particularly well early on.
|Unbridled's Song (1993)
|Honour and Glory (1993)
|Giant's Causeway (1997)
|Awesome Again (1994)
|Distorted Humor (1999)
|Tale of the Cat (1994)
|Maria's Mon (1997)
|Touch Gold (1994)
|Grand Slam (1995)
|Coronado's Quest (1995)
|Fusaichi Pegasus (1997)
|Boston Harbor (1994)
|Elusive Quality (1993)
|Indian Charlie (1995)
|Smoke Glacken (1994)
|Wild Rush (1994)
|King of Kings (IRE) (1995)
|Lemon Drop Kid (1996)
|Sir Cat (1993)
|Louis Quatorze (1993)
|Storm Creek (1993)
|Stormy Atlantic (1994)
|Cape Town (1995)
|Gold Fever (1993)
|Doneraile Court (1996)
|Formal Gold (1993)
|Cat Thief (1996)
|Dixie Union (1997)
|Horse Chestnut (SAF) (95)
|Captian Bodgit (1994)
|Mazel Trick (1995)
|Old Trieste (1995)
|Swiss Yodeler (1994)
|Chester House (1995)
|Gold Case (1994)
|More Than Ready (1997)
|Real Quiet (1995)
|Tactical Cat (1996)
|Valid Expectations (1993)
|Victory Gallop (1995)
|Wild Event (1993)
CONSULTANT ANNE PETERS GOES OUT ON HER OWN
N. Clay’s Three Chimneys Farm announced today that Stallion
Seasons and Matings Specialist Anne Peters has decided to go
out on her own as a pedigree consultant and writer.
one of the world’s leading authorities on Thoroughbred breeding
and pedigrees, will return to providing her expertise as a freelance
bloodstock advisor after five years at Three Chimneys.
time to go back out on my own again, as a consultant and writer.
Besides bringing me back to Kentucky, one of the many things
I’m grateful to Robert and Case Clay for is allowing and encouraging
me to remain objective when recommending stallions to breeders,
even if it meant suggesting a stallion at another farm,” said
Peters. “We felt that it was important to give good all-around
advice that helped mare owners make sound breeding decisions,
rather than be totally self-serving. It’s better for the breeders
and the horses, and so it’s better for the industry.”
known to many as “The Pedigree Goddess,” will provide articles
of interest and a blog on her website www.pedigreegoddess.com
and also looks forward to writing for various Thoroughbred publications.
writing about the breeding end of things and pedigree matters,”
said Peters. “This will allow me the freedom to do that, without
readers feeling that I’m biased toward any one farm or group
has been one of this farm's biggest assets over the past five
years," said Case Clay, President of Three Chimneys. "She wasn't
just an employee; she was and still is a trusted friend, and
we plan to continue to seek out her opinion on a variety of
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